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Why China is conducting military drills near Ukraine

Jointย militaryย drillsย betweenย Chinaย andย Belarusย haveย startedย closeย toย Brest,ย aboutย 5ย kilometersย (3.1ย miles)ย fromย Poland’sย borderย withย NATOย andย theย EU. Code-namedย “Falconย Assault,”ย theseย 11-dayย drillsย willย includeย aย rangeย ofย tacticalย missions,ย includingย trainingย forย urbanย battle,ย nightย landings,ย andย navigatingย waterย obstacles.

Theย exercises,ย dubbedย “anti-terroristย training,”ย areย meantย toย improveย theย twoย forces’ย abilityย toย coordinateย andย strengthenย theirย actualย practicalย cooperation.

Imagesย ofย China’sย People’sย Liberationย Armyย (PLA)ย personnelย landingย inย Belarusย onย aย Chineseย Y-20ย strategicย transportย aircraftย wereย madeย publicย byย theย defenseย ministryย ofย Belarus. Onย Julyย 6,ย aย lavishย welcomeย ceremonyย wasย heldย forย theย Chineseย forces.

Theย headย ofย Belarus’sย specialย operationsย command,ย Majorย Generalย Vadimย Denisenko,ย emphasizedย theย valueย ofย theseย drillsย inย preparingย forย evolvingย formsย andย tacticsย ofย combatย inย lightย ofย theย complicatedย internationalย environment.

Why is China holding military drills in Belarus?

Concernย hasย beenย raised by NATO countries aboutย Brest’s closenessย toย Polandย andย Ukraine as it is just 50 kilometers from the border between Belarus and Ukraine. Sinceย Russia’sย full-scaleย invasionย ofย Ukraineย inย Februaryย 2022,ย Polandย hasย beenย aย crucialย allyย ofย thatย country,ย henceย Polandย isย concernedย aboutย theseย exercises. NATO’sย summit,ย whichย isย setย forย Julyย 9โ€“11ย inย Washington,ย D.C.,ย willย probablyย talkย aboutย theseย developments.

Chineseย forcesย reportedlyย tookย partย inย aย militaryย paradeย commemoratingย theย 80thย anniversaryย ofย Belarusianย liberationย inย Minsk,ย theย capitalย city of Belarus, accordingย toย state-runย mediaย inย China. Theseย eventsย takeย placeย inย tandemย withย Volodymyrย Zelenskyy,ย theย presidentย ofย Ukraine,ย visitingย Warsawย andย signingย aย securityย accordย withย Donaldย Tusk,ย theย primeย ministerย ofย Poland.

Accordingย toย statementsย fromย theย Belarusianย government,ย theseย exercisesย willย setย theย stageย forย futureย growthย ofย bilateralย tiesย betweenย Belarusย andย Chinaย inย theย areaย ofย cooperativeย militaryย training. Theย goalย ofย theย exercises,ย accordingย toย theย Chineseย Ministryย ofย Defense,ย isย toย improveย theย participatingย troops’ย coordinationย ability.ย Itย isย partย ofย anย annualย planย andย consensus.

Military ties revived after long gap

Chinaย hasn’tย dispatchedย militaryย forcesย toย Belarusย forย theseย kindsย ofย drillsย inย sixย years. Chinaย hostedย theirย mostย recentย bilateralย jointย exercises,ย butย bothย nationsย tookย partย inย Russia’sย multilateralย Vostokย exerciseย inย Augustย 2022. Followingย aย meetingย inย Augustย ofย lastย yearย inย Minskย betweenย Belarusianย Presidentย Alexanderย Lukashenkoย andย China’sย then-defenseย leaderย Liย Shangfu,ย theย decisionย wasย madeย toย increaseย theย frequencyย ofย cooperativeย militaryย exercises. Theย drillsย areย beingย heldย inย theย contextย ofย Belarusย becomingย theย tenthย memberย ofย theย China-ledย Shanghaiย Cooperationย Organizationย (SCO)ย atย itsย 24thย headsย ofย councilย meetingย inย Astana,ย Kazakhstan. Presidentsย Alexanderย Lukashenkoย ofย Belarusย andย Xiย Jinpingย ofย Chinaย praisedย thisย breakthroughย asย aย majorย advancementย inย theirย bilateralย relations.

Geostrategic muscle flexing by China

Theย coordinatedย exercisesย areย thoughtย toย beย aย directย reactionย toย NATOย forcesย beingย stationedย closerย toย Belarus’sย borders.

Accordingย toย aย Telegramย statementย fromย theย Belarusianย defenseย ministry,ย tensionsย inย theย regionย areย risingย asย aย resultย ofย theย fastย expansionย ofย NATOย forcesย alongย Belarus’ย border.

โ€œOur country is taking all possible measures to prevent escalation. However, if someone crosses our borders, the reaction will be harsh,โ€ the statement warned.

Theย placementย ofย Russia’sย tacticalย nuclearย weaponsย inย Belarusย strengthensย theirย strategicย allianceย andย hasย importantย ramificationsย forย bothย NATOย andย regionalย security. Russiaย relocatedย someย ofย itsย tacticalย nuclearย weaponsย toย Belarusย inย 2023,ย strengtheningย Moscowย andย Minsk’sย strategicย partnership.

Becauseย ofย theย Russianย nuclearย weaponsย stationedย inย Belarus,ย Lukashenkoย isย noย longerย freeย toย pursueย hisย ownย interests;ย instead,ย theย Kremlinย hasย takenย himย captiveย andย isย forcingย Minskย toย followย itsย directives.

What is the agenda of China and Russia?

Chinaย andย Russia’sย largerย planย toย opposeย Westernย influenceย isย reflectedย inย theย jointย drillsย andย Belarus’sย admissionย toย theย SCO.

Foundedย inย 2001ย withย theย goalย ofย promotingย borderย securityย andย fightingย terrorism,ย theย SCOย hasย developedย intoย aย geopoliticalย forceย thatย opposesย Westernย institutions,ย spearheadedย byย theย USย andย itsย allies.

Meetingsย betweenย Russianย Presidentย Vladimirย Putinย andย Chineseย Presidentย Xiย Jinpingย haveย indicatedย aย closerย alignmentย ofย theย twoย countriesย inย theย faceย ofย growingย Westernย sanctionsย andย scrutiny.

Also Read: India to test new ballistic missile

Westernย leadersย areย becomingย moreย andย moreย worriedย thatย Chinaย mightย beย thinkingย aboutย helpingย Russiaย militarilyโ€”aย moveย thatย USย officialsย fearย mightย haveย deadlyย repercussions.

Wangย Yi,ย theย foreignย ministerย ofย China,ย andย Maksimย Ryzhenkov,ย theย recentlyย appointedย foreignย ministerย ofย Belarus,ย pledgedย toย “firmlyย supportย eachย other”ย onย mattersย pertainingย toย theirย sharedย coreย interestsย andย primaryย concerns,ย emphasizingย theirย resistanceย toย anย American-dominatedย globalย order.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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